BitWorking

Pat McCrory in the context of elite overproduction.

As we head into the fourth week of Pat McCrory's failure to conceeed in the NC gubernatorial race, it's important to look at McCrory's infantile behavior in a larger context. While it would be tempting to try to psychoanalyze his continued intransigence as yet another man-child temper tantrum, there are larger forces at work, of which McCrory is just one sad symptom.

The root of the problem stems from the ever widening wealth gap and subsequent elite overproduction. As more and more millionaires and billionaires are minted they seek to convert their newfound wealth into political power. But the levers of power are limited, there's a finite number of House and Senate seats, there are only 50 governors, and only one President. No new power levers are being created, yet there are more and more people scrambling for them. More and more millionaires think they should be on the city council or run for their state legislature, while more billionaires think they too should be President. In a simple example of the law of supply and demand, you can see the price of running for office rising steeply over the last 40 years, with the cost of running for President exceeding $2 billion in 2012.

But what happens when the demand outstrips the supply so that no manner of money can buy you that cherished lever of power? When there are multiple millionaires, each backed by a group of billionaires, all vying for power? What do you pay then? You pay in social norms. Common decency. The destruction of these are the price you pay. Pat McCrory, in a desperate bid to retain his power, is willing to violate every norm of U.S. democracy and attempt to destroy all faith in the election process, the same process that put him in power four years ago. If Pat McCrory can't be governor, well then, he might as well burn down the entire edifice so no one else can be either.

You can also see this playing out on the national stage, with Donald Trump willing to violate every norm, digging deep into the veins of xenophobia, racism, and bigotry to propel himself into office. Under normal circumstances no politician would openly court the worse side of the human tribal instinct, the horrors from the last rise of fascism leading up to WWII have been too close and too fresh in memory. But time has passed, the last survivors of WWII are dying out, the reality of tens of millions of people dying in wars, revolutions, and pogroms are just dry history lessons now, not to be considered in the raw and ugly scramble for power.

So don't blame Pat McCrory, as infantile and destructive as his behavior has become, he is just a symptom of a much larger breakdown in political norms, and these are just a couple steps along a longer arc of societal disintegration. We're already seeing the normal U.S. two-party system fragment into five distinct parties; the neo-liberal wing of the Democratic party as exemplified by Hillary Clinton, the populist wing of Bernie Sanders followers, the traditional big business GOP, the Tea Party republicans, and finally the Trumpers. And this isn't the end of the disruption, merely the beginning. Layer on global warming, the continued disruption of technology, and the world wide migration of people from rural areas into cities and we have all the ingredients for massive upheaval. Will we descend into our own Cultural Revolution, shatter the country in another Civil War, or will the similar rise of fascism across Europe lead to another world engulfing spasm of death and desctruction? The patterns are all there, the roots of the problem can be clearly mapped out, and while there's no guaranteed way to avoid the coming disintegration, maybe we should at least try.

2016-12-05

Surely we've seen this before. Not.

You might think that as the U.S. moves from an industrial and manufacturing based economy to a knowledge based economy that we surely have weathered similar tranistions. For example, as we moved from an agricultural economy to a manufacturing based one. While we did indeed weather the same changes, the vital difference is the timescale over which those changes took place.

As you can see from this data on agricultural employment, we did experience a loss of 6 million agricultural jobs over a 50 year period from 1910 to 1960. In contrast, from Voter anger explained—in one chart, you can see that the U.S. economy also lost 6 million manufacturing jobs, but this time in just 10 years, from 2000 to 2010.

2016-11-19

This is voter suppression.

To get an idea of voter suppression in action let's overlap the The Racial Dot Map with Wake County's early voting locations.

2016-11-01

The LCD Toy Universe

Entropy: Mean:
Entities: Mean:

Quanta Magazine published an interesting article in their Insights Puzzle column called Seeing Time Through a Liquid Crystal Display. Above is my version of the simulation, which operates on a basic level like the simulation presented in the article, but then adds in a few twists. At this point you should to read the arctile to understand the basic simulation.

I added a second measure, which is just the number of connected objects in the simultion. This will be a value from 1 to 7, where 1 is achieved when all the atoms are touching, and 7 is achieved when no atom touches another atom. You can start the simulation in either of these configurations by choosing either "Low Entropy" or "High Entropy" for the initial conditions. I added this because the initial definition of entropy given in the article was a little unsatisfactory, as it fixed the low entropy state to the middle of the universe, which means the figure 8 could reappear perfectly formed two steps to the right and that would still be measured as maximum entropy.

The second deviation from the article's proposed simulation is the addition of 'forces' that influence the interation of the atoms in the universe. These are ways of injecting stratified stability into the system. The first force is 'ESF', a force that acts like the electrostatic force, that is, when two atoms are touching the probability that they wlll move is reduced. The actual probability that an atom moves when in contact with at least one other atom is controlled via the "%" input, which defaults to 10%.

The second 'force' added in the simulation is similar to the Pauli Exclusion Principle, which stops atoms from occupying the same location.

Both of the forces can be turned on and off via checkboxes. When conditions are changed, such as changing the ESF percent, the simulation is restarted and the graphs are cleared.

2016-09-27